Economic Calendar: How to Read and Use

The economic calendar is an essential part of a Forex trader's arsenal. The calendar shows the time, date, and potential impact of the major domestic and international economic events on currency prices. Let’s talk about this helpful instrument in detail.

What is an economic calendar in Forex?

Certain events affect the foreign exchange market in significant but predictable ways. These recurring events affect market sentiment and trading volume and act as indicators that help to identify valuable trading opportunities. They can also act as indicators of future spikes in volatility, helping traders stay prepared and employ appropriate risk management strategies.

With the economic calendar you can plan your strategy because you will know what events are going to be published in the coming days and weeks. You can also get an update of the key economic parameters that influence financial markets. These include US Non-Farm payrolls, interest rate announcements, inflation data, manufacturing data, GDP, and more.

How does economic calendar work?

Economic calendars have many versions. They typically describe the event, its scheduled date and time, and the previous, expected, and actual values. The predicted value tells us what numbers the market expects from a release. It can be a percentage value signaling a change in the indicator’s level or an absolute value, for example, the level of an index in points. The previous value is the last recorded value of the report. These numbers – especially the forecast – affect market sentiment and price movement ahead of the actual event.

Screenshot Economc calendar.png

For example, if the market expects a country's unemployment figure to be worse than the previous one, the value of the national currency falls against other currencies. It happens because the rise in the unemployed indicates the nation's worsening economic health, making the currency less attractive to investors. Then, many traders take a short position on this currency, and its price declines.

Let's consider a real-life example. The expected NFP results as of January 7, 2022, were 426,000 jobs added. The actual result disappointed, with only 199,000 new jobs. As a result, volatility increased, and the dollar index lost about 500 points.

During NFP release, gold and the USD pairs are the most affective ones.

Example NFP.png

Most calendars have a system that separates important events from those of medium and low importance. The US is the world's largest economy, and the US dollar is the world's reserve currency. As a result, economic events related to the US tend to affect assets worldwide. Similarly, news releases from major economies such as the UK, EU, China, and Japan also significantly impact global financial markets. Therefore, traders need to research to assess the event's impact on their positions.

The scheduled date and time are also critical to entering or exiting the market at the right moment. The estimated time in the economic calendar should align with the trader's local time zone to prevent miscalculations.

Top news events in Forex trading

When it comes to currency trading, a few events have more economic impact than most. Let’s go through them.

Central Bank Interest Rate Decisions

Central banks monitor the country's economic health by raising and lowering interest rates and conducting other monetary policies. An increase in interest rates can push the national currency higher relative to other currencies and vice versa.

Consumer Price Index (CPI)

CPI is a measure of inflation. Persistently high inflation rates can make the central bank raise interest rates to reduce the money supply in the economy. As mentioned earlier, a rate hike will push the national currency up in the short term.

Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI)

PMI reflects the state of manufacturing activity in a country. A level above 50 indicates economic growth compared to the previous month and is positive for the currency.

US NFP

While a country's unemployment data is essential for tracking the price direction of its currency, the US NFP report is one of the most significant events for Forex traders. Released on the first Friday of every month, it tracks the US employment level (excluding farmers, the self-employed, and some other factions). It's also crucial to the US Federal Reserve's future interest rate stance.

How to read and use Forex economic calendar

The economic calendar is used to predict the moves of a currency pair. Various financial resources evaluate the state of the market before the release and suggest what numbers will be published. However, instead of placing orders based on them, traders could use this information in the context of their technical analysis.

Traders can study the current market trend, price direction, and strength and identify support and resistance levels before the news releases. If positive numbers are expected, traders may see a surge in price action between these levels. Intraday traders can take advantage of price volatility leading up to the major events. More conservative traders may want to wait for volatility to subside after the market has digested the information.

Here is a popular way to trade on economic releases:

  • Refrain from trading in the first 15 minutes after the release.
  • The next step is to check the candlestick chart for an inside bar within the starting bar. The high and low of this bar are the triggers for trading.
  • Traders can trade in the direction of a breakout when the next bar closes above or below the inside bar.
  • Stop loss can be set at 30 points.
  • Most of the movements occur within 4 hours. Thus, traders can exit their positions within 4 hours. Here the profit target depends on time.

Essential news releases can lead to slippage, which means that a trade with a 1% risk can end up with a 5% loss. Because of this unpredictability, Forex traders often close positions minutes or hours before a report is released. This means that market liquidity may also fall. So, traders should behave attentively.

Conclusion

The economic calendar is an extremely useful tool not only for fundamental but for technical analysis as well. Don’t forget to check it at least once a week in order to predict possible market fluctuations.

Frequently asked questions

  • How to start trading?

    If you are 18+ years old, you can join FBS and begin your FX journey. To trade, you need a brokerage account and sufficient knowledge on how assets behave in the financial markets. Start with studying the basics with our free educational materials and creating an FBS account. You may want to test the environment with virtual money with a Demo account. Once you are ready, enter the real market and trade to succeed.

  • How to open an FBS account?

    Click the 'Open account' button on our website and proceed to the Trader Area. Before you can start trading, pass a profile verification. Confirm your email and phone number, get your ID verified. This procedure guarantees the safety of your funds and identity. Once you are done with all the checks, go to the preferred trading platform, and start trading.

  • How to withdraw the money you earned with FBS?

    The procedure is very straightforward. Go to the Withdrawal page on the website or the Finances section of the FBS Trader Area and access Withdrawal. You can get the earned money via the same payment system that you used for depositing. In case you funded the account via various methods, withdraw your profit via the same methods in the ratio according to the deposited sums.

Latest news

USD: Powell Speaks on Cutting Interest Rates

Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...

BTCUSD: Rich Dad Says Buy

Robert Kiyosaki, the author of "Rich Dad Poor Dad," has updated his bitcoin price forecast, now projecting the cryptocurrency to hit $100,000 by September. He plans to acquire more bitcoin before April, attributing his decision to the upcoming halving event. Kiyosaki advises investors to consider adding bitcoin to their portfolios and suggests...

WTT: Currency Pairs To Trade In April

Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.

Deposit with your local payment systems

Data collection notice

FBS maintains a record of your data to run this website. By pressing the “Accept” button, you agree to our Privacy policy.

Callback

A manager will call you shortly.

Change number

Your request is accepted.

A manager will call you shortly.

Next callback request for this phone number
will be available in

If you have an urgent issue please contact us via
Live chat

Internal error. Please try again later

Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!

You are using an older version of your browser.

Update it to the latest version or try another one for a safer, more comfortable and productive trading experience.

Safari Chrome Firefox Opera