Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
XAU/USD near-term outlook
2019-11-11 • Updated
The bullion rose to $1245 as Trump-related news sparked safe-haven demand.
Gold has started its upsurge last week following Trump’s firing of FBI director James Comey. On Monday, Trump was accused of disclosing the US highly classified intelligence information to Russian foreign minister Sergey Lavrov. The yellow metal got an additional boost following the high-rank meeting in Oval Office.
The latest news appeared on Tuesday in the New York Times. It said that President Donald Trump tried to influence an FBI investigation into the ties between former US security advisor Michael Flynn and Russian authorities. Investors are questioning now whether there is a possibility of impeachment as Donald Trump allegedly obstructed justice (an impeachable offense in the US). The White House denied the NYT’s revelation.
The investors perceived the turmoil in Trump’s West Wing as yet more doubt that tax cuts, fiscal stimulus, and other pro-growth policies will be introduced. The US dollar is still under pressure, while safe-haven assets caught a bid on Trump’s concerns.
The bullion’s prices are hovering near the key resistance at $1247.30 (which a lower border of the previous upward trading channel + it is located near 200-day and 50-day MAs). If bulls manage to test the following level and rise towards $1270, we might see the continuation of the rally towards $1295.80 (this year high). In the opposite scenario, the prices risk sliding towards supports at $1228.60, 1213.85 levels.
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Bearish scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.60... Anticipated bullish scenario: Intraday purchases above 80.70 with TP: 81.50...
Bearish Scenario: Sales below 78.99 with TP1: 77.93, TP2: 77.45, and upon its breakout TP3: 76.56 and TP4: 75.70 Bullish Scenario: Purchases above 78.00 (wait for a pullback to this area) with TP1: 1679.00 (uncovered POC*), TP2: 79.33, and TP3: 79.66 intraday
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Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...