2022-08-30 • Updated
Financial giants such as JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs anticipate crude oil to skyrocket as high as $100 as the global economy rebounds. Oil prices haven’t been at such a high level since 2014. What are the reasons behind banks’ optimism? The banks believe that Biden’s fiscal stimulus of $1.9 trillion will boost consumption and thus increased demand in combination with massive output cuts would fuel the recent surge in oil prices. However, there is still much depends on OPEC+ decisions on oil supply.
All these banks’ forecasts are good, but won’t oil be replaced by alternative energy resources? The US President committed to fight climate change and support the development of electric vehicles. His goal is to make the US carbon-free by 2050. It seems that there is no place for crude oil in our future. Yes, but JPMorgan assured: “We’re going to be short of oil before we don’t need it in the years to come. We could see oil overshoot towards, or even above, $100 a barrel.” Besides, Goldman Sachs emphasized that Biden’s stimulus will be directed to middle and low-class people, who mostly drive petrol-drive cars, not Teslas.
Brent crude has gained more than two-thirds so far since October and reached $63 a barrel. The price has broken through all weekly moving averages, confirming an uptrend. Now the price is just under the key psychological level of $65.00. If it manages to break it, the way up to the high of January of the last year at $70.00 will be clear. Support levels are at the 200-week moving average of $59.00 and the low of late January at $55.00.
The current CFD for Brent oil is BRN-21J, which expires on February 26.
Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
Bearish Scenario: Sales below 78.99 with TP1: 77.93, TP2: 77.45, and upon its breakout TP3: 76.56 and TP4: 75.70 Bullish Scenario: Purchases above 78.00 (wait for a pullback to this area) with TP1: 1679.00 (uncovered POC*), TP2: 79.33, and TP3: 79.66 intraday
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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