Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
USD/JPY: outlook for July 10 -14
2019-11-11 • Updated
The yen was one of the biggest losers in the past week mainly due to stronger USD which got traction on the upbeat economic releases out of the US. An additional drag on Japan’s currency came on Friday as the country’s central bank signaled its decision to buy an unlimited amount of bonds to keep 10-year yields at around zero percent level. As a result, USD/JPY spiked above 113.90 at the end of the past week.
Next week will start with Japan’s core machinery orders, economic watchers’ sentiment, and current account figures. Then, traders will be mostly focused on the US economic releases. The US producer price index and unemployment claims will the released on Thursday. On Friday, we will receive inflation and retail sales figures out of the US at 3:30 pm MT time. The key event of the week is Fed Chair Yellen’s testimony scheduled for 5:00 pm MT time Thursday.
Regardless of the recent gains of the US dollar, the current technical outlook is still neutral. USD/JPY is trading in the broad range of 108.80 – 114.35 levels. A break of the upper limit of the range will open the way towards resistance at 115.50 last touched on March 10. On the downside, there are some supports at 112.90, 112.75 ahead of the psychologically important level of 112.00.
Similar
Bearish scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.60... Anticipated bullish scenario: Intraday purchases above 80.70 with TP: 81.50...
Bearish Scenario: Sales below 78.99 with TP1: 77.93, TP2: 77.45, and upon its breakout TP3: 76.56 and TP4: 75.70 Bullish Scenario: Purchases above 78.00 (wait for a pullback to this area) with TP1: 1679.00 (uncovered POC*), TP2: 79.33, and TP3: 79.66 intraday
Latest news
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...