Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
USD/CAD: Canadian positive data vs US negative data
2020-07-10 • Updated
The Canadian employment change has been released at the same time with the US PPI. The best opportunity of this week for traders!
What happened?
- 952 900 Canadians have been hired during June. Analysts expected that only 700 000 people would find jobs. This data gave a good sign that the Canadian labor market is gradually recovering. In comparison, the previous report showed that 289 600 people were employed during May. However, the Canadian unemployment rate came worse than expected: 12.3%, that was more by 0.3% than the forecast.
- Two types of Producer Price Indexes (PPI) were released: the Core PPI and the PPI. The Core PPI shows the change in the price of finished goods and services sold by producers, excluding food and energy. Unlike it, the PPI includes food and energy. Both of them turned out worse than analysts anticipated. The results you can see below.
Actual Forecast Previous
Core PPI -0.3% 0.1 -0.1%
PPI -0.2% 0.4% 0.4%
How to trade USD/CAD?
Opportunities like this come along quite rarely. The Canadian dollar got two tailwinds at the same time. As a result, USD/CAD started moving down. Based on fundamental factors we can assume that the pair should go down further. It has already broken through two moving averages, but there is one left – the 50-period moving average at 1.3570. If the price crosses it, it may plummet to the next support level at 1.3525, which it has touched several times already. The move below this level will push the price to the low of June 9 at 1.3375. Resistance levels are at 1.3610 and 1.3685.
Similar
Bearish scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.60... Anticipated bullish scenario: Intraday purchases above 80.70 with TP: 81.50...
Bearish Scenario: Sales below 78.99 with TP1: 77.93, TP2: 77.45, and upon its breakout TP3: 76.56 and TP4: 75.70 Bullish Scenario: Purchases above 78.00 (wait for a pullback to this area) with TP1: 1679.00 (uncovered POC*), TP2: 79.33, and TP3: 79.66 intraday
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Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...