2020-04-22 • Updated
Most analysts believe S&P 500 is overbought and it will have a correction soon. What is the reason?
There is no secret that many large US companies have a tough time now amid the coronavirus pandemic. Goldman predicts a 15% EPS decline in the first quarter for S&P 500. That would be the largest drop in earnings reported by the index since 2009, when the decline was 15.7%.
Moreover, according to the Morgan Stanley, earnings will decrease by 20% this year. The guidance from corporations may show that the virus damage was devastating and it takes a long time to rebound. The business loan demand increased by 17.3% the previous week, what generally indicates the beginning of the recession. While major economies around the world take tentative steps toward reopening, it’s still to early to talk about their recovery.
Let’s have a look at the S&P 500 chart below. The price was declining from February 20 to March 23, then it reversed and went upward. Few days ago it reached the 50-day moving average and had a short correction down. So, it might continue increasing only if it breaks through the 50-day moving average. However, most analysts anticipate the upcoming falling down.
Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
Bearish Scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.34, TP2: 78.94, TP3: 78.55, and 78.00 Bullish Scenario: Buys above 78.00 (wait for a retracement to the zone) with TP: 79.34 TP2: 80.00, and TP3: 81.00
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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