2024-02-16 • Updated
Commerzbank's analysis suggests a brighter outlook for the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) in the coming months despite recent downward pressure. Factors like broader U.S. Dollar strength and domestic issues have kept the NZD below last year's highs. However, robust labor markets in both New Zealand and Australia and an expected stabilization of Chinese economic growth offer reasons for optimism. While economic growth in New Zealand is projected to stabilize slowly, persistent inflation prompts cautious actions from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). Despite challenges, Commerzbank anticipates a moderate appreciation of the NZD due to the relatively hawkish stance of its central bank compared to other G10 counterparts.
The 4-hour timeframe chart of GBPNZD as attached above shows price currently retesting the 88% region of the Fibonacci retracement tool. This, combined with the trendline support, and 200-period moving average, indicates the likelihood of price to bounce off the current region to approach the 23% of the Fibonacci retracement as a target level.
Analyst’s Expectations:
Direction: Bullish
Target: 2.07402
Invalidation: 2.04964
NZDUSD is currently trading between 76% and 88% of the Fibonacci retracement after having broken structure and trendline support. This means that the current price action is likely to reverse once price retests the trendline. Other confirmations include the confluence of two resistance trendlines, the 200-period moving average resistance, the Fibonacci retracement levels, and also, the supply zone.
Analyst’s Expectations:
Direction: Bearish
Target: 0.60761
Invalidation: 0.61595
The price action on the daily timeframe of NZDCHF is very akin to what we saw earlier on the 4-hour timeframe of NZDUSD. Here, we see a similar break of structure and trendline support, with price currently making a move to retest these resistance trendlines, as well as the supply zone and the Fibonacci retracement levels. I expect to see a rejection from the supply zone.
Analyst’s Expectations:
Direction: Bearish
Target: 0.52863
Invalidation: 0.54377
The trading of CFDs comes at a risk. Thus, to succeed, you have to manage risks properly. To avoid costly mistakes while you look to trade these opportunities, be sure to do your due diligence and manage your risk appropriately.
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Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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