2019-11-11 • Updated
USD/JPY is trading a little bit higher this morning at 110.95 as we got a surprise trade deficit from Japan. The current move is a part of a consolidation phase. The pair will likely trade sideways between the wide range of 110.3 – 111.10.
Political turmoil in the US took another turn over the weekend. US President Donald Trump isn’t under investigation for obstruction by special counsel Robert Mueller, a member of the president’s legal team said, despite Trump’s repeated comments on Twitter that he is the target of a “witch hunt”. The NY Fed W. Dudley is due to speak later today. He might provide insight into whether the Fed is still on the track of raising its rate. Some analysts believe that he should sound very dovish and this should help the USD not to lose its ground.
The British pound is trading near 1.2770 in the light of a deliberate act of Islamophobia performed. In Monday’s morning, a van ploughed into worshippers leaving a London mosque killing at least one person and injuring some others. The Brexit negotiations are about to start at 11 am in Brussels with UK PM Theresa May’s government already on the backfoot. Without solid support for her earlier hard Brexit policies, she will have to soften them. It is not a one-day talk. So, any comments about the talks’ progress shouldn’t produce significant moves.
At the present moment, GBP/USD is trading at relatively muted manner. The prospects for further weakness has diminished but the slide towards 1.2730 is still possible. On the upside, there is a room for extension towards 1.2800/1.2830 levels.
EUR/USD slipped a few points and reached 1.1195. From here, the pair will likely trade sideways within the wide range of 1.1140 – 1.1265. President Emmanuel Macron won a solid majority in the second round of France’s parliamentary election held on Sunday, sweeping aside traditional parties and gaining support for his pro-business reforms.
The Australian dollar rose higher on Monday after the country’s central bank governor Philip Lowe said the country may achieve stronger growth in upcoming months. AUD/USD is trading against the level of 0.7615. The bullish phase is still intact. There is scope for further upsurge towards the resistances at 0.7670/0.7675.
USD/CAD ticked higher in the Asian session. The pair almost reached the level of 1.3220. In commodities, Brent futures dropped to $47.20 on concerns about a supply glut amid faltering demand.
Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
Bearish scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.60... Anticipated bullish scenario: Intraday purchases above 80.70 with TP: 81.50...
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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