2021-04-29 • Updated
The Federal Reserve left the policy unchanged yesterday and signaled that it wouldn’t be ready to tighten the policy anytime soon. After that meeting, the USD dropped and EUR/USD rocketed to the two-months high.
Today, the pair has already reversed down as the demand for the greenback resurged. Fresh worries over the increase in coronavirus cases in India are worsening the market sentiment and therefore supporting the safe-haven US dollar.
Besides, the USA will publish its Advance GDP growth at 15:30 MT (GMT+3), which is widely expected to beat forecasts. If the data is really stronger-than-expected, the USD will get another stimulus to rise and EUR/USD will fall. Nevertheless, in the long term, EUR/USD is likely to move higher as the focus will shift to the European economic recovery.
According to Westpac, “EUR/USD looks set to remain in the upper half of its 1.17-1.22 range, but is likely to struggle towards range resistance.”
In the long term, EUR/USD is moving in a downtrend, while in the short term, it’s trending up. After breaking the upper trend line, the pair reversed down as the RSI indicator came closer to 70.00, signaling the pair is overbought. It may fall to the 100-day moving average of 1.2050, but it’s unlikely to break this level on the first try as it’s strong support, which the pair has failed to cross several times. So, this decline should be just a correction ahead of the further rally up. If it bounces off the 1.2050 mark, on the way up it will meet resistance levels at yesterday’s high of 1.2125 and the high of February 25 at 1.2175.
Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
Bearish scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.60... Anticipated bullish scenario: Intraday purchases above 80.70 with TP: 81.50...
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!
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