2023-09-07 • Updated
Recently, oil prices significantly increased, boosting the US Dollar. This matters because countries that don't export much oil deal with higher prices and slower economic growth. Due to this tricky situation, the US economy stands out as one of the largest oil exporters.
Oil skyrocketed because OPEC+ leaders decided to cut oil supplies until the end of 2023. Brent crude oil costs around $90 per barrel, and WTI crude is close to $86 per barrel, which we haven't seen since last November.
Many experts believe rising oil prices highlight the risk of stagflation worldwide, making the US Dollar stronger than G10 countries' currencies.
The US Dollar index is at its highest point since March 2023. At the same time, the Pound to Dollar exchange rate fell below 1.25, and the Euro to Dollar exchange rate almost reached 1.07.
Another factor pushing the US dollar higher is the relative economic strength of the US, especially in contrast to the ongoing softness in Europe and China.
If rising oil prices boost inflation again, the Federal Reserve will have no choice but to raise the key rate, supporting the greenback.
Recently, XBRUSD broke above the significant resistance range of 87.00 - 88.50, currently the major price’s support. Traders may look for buy opportunities on the retest of this area. The major target for XBRUSD remains at 97.50.
USDCAD has one of the most exciting trading setups among USD currency pairs. The price has formed a global bullish wedge, and an upcoming breakout is only a matter of time.
While Intraday traders may try to catch some short-term bounces off the resistance trendline. The overall sentiment is highly bullish. Therefore, opening buy trades after a breakout would be the best option. Middle-term targets for USDCAD are 1.3850 and 1.3980.
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The Australian Dollar (AUD) rebounds on Monday, despite a slight dip in the US Dollar (USD) and higher US Treasury yields. Investors are eyeing Australian monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for February and US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for Q4 2023. The AUD gains momentum as the ASX 200 Index rises, especially in mining and energy sectors. Additionally, the Aussie...
Gold prices rose on Monday as the US Dollar weakened amidst speculation about potential Federal Reserve rate cuts starting in June. This weakened Dollar was partly due to improved risk sentiment pushing US Treasury yields lower. Despite facing challenges from declining yields, gold prices recovered to nearly $2,170 per troy ounce, driven by the Dollar's weakness. Federal Reserve Chair...
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!
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