Bearish scenario: Sell below 2200 / 2194 ... Nearest bullish scenario: Buy above 2197... Bullish scenario after retracement: Consider buys around each indicated demand zone
Gold Loses the Chanсe to Survive!
2022-12-15 • Updated
What will happen?
The Bureau of Labor Statistics will post June’s US CPI data on July 13th. It seems like markets expect to see high numbers, as the US dollar index (DXY) is flying to 107.00 while risk assets keep being pressed.
Also, investors keep in mind that the Federal Reserve might increase the key rate by50 basis points at the end of July, sending it to 2.25%.
What to expect?
An upcoming key rate increase combined with the oil market prices dump will cool the inflation down. Investors, who usually buy gold on expectations of increasing inflation and sell it at the opposite moment, have been getting rid of the yellow metal since March 2022. There is no doubt that they will keep doing that, freeing up capital to buy riskier assets such as cryptocurrencies and stocks, some of which have lost over 50% since the start of the year.
Technical analysis
XAUUSD has broken through the support trend line on the weekly timeframe with a strong
impulse. Currently, the price is heading towards $1745, the main on the same timeframe. As soon as a weekly candle closes below this level, XAUUSD will head towards $1725 and $1690.
However, the breakout might now happen right away. Risky traders might try to catch a pullback by buying gold at $1745 with the target at $1765.
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Bullish scenario: Intraday buys above 2160.00 with TP: 2171 and TP2: 2177 // Bearish scenario: Sells below 2177 with TP1: 2150, TP2: 2142, and 2126
This article uses price action and volume profile techniques to address a fundamental and technical perspective based on the daily chart analysis of spot gold (XAUUSD).
Latest news
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...