2019-11-11 • Updated
EUR/USD currency pair was trading in a horizontal band during the past week as investors await the European Central bank’s meeting on June 8. ECB policymakers are set to strike a cautious tone about future tightening of monetary policy because of doubt around inflation. Preliminary data released on Wednesday fell short of market expectations having posted 1.4% in May which is well below the bank’s 2% target. The ECB president Mario Draghi said on Tuesday that a massive monetary policy stimulus is still needed to fight with weak inflation figures. On Friday, EUR/USD regained its strength following a bit disappointing US labor market report. The nonfarm payrolls revised to 138K from expected 182K. Wage growth was mediocre, while the jobless rate fell a bit lower to 4.3%. in general, the report wasn’t so bad. It shouldn’t prevent Fed from raising rate at its June meeting.
Apart from the ECB meeting, we will receive the Eurozone countries’ PMIs and industrial production figures on Monday and Friday respectively. Political turmoil in the US seems to come back to life next week as the former FBI director Comey is scheduled to testify in an open and closed session on June 8 before the Senate intelligence committee which is currently investigating into possible collusion between Russian entities and Trump’s election campaign.
At the present moment, the pair is trading at 1.1265. The undertone for the single currency is still positive, but only a clear break of 1.3000 will indicate that EUR/USD has entered into bullish phase. The key supports are located at 1.1205, and at 1.1170.
Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
Bearish scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.60... Anticipated bullish scenario: Intraday purchases above 80.70 with TP: 81.50...
Bearish Scenario: Sales below 78.99 with TP1: 77.93, TP2: 77.45, and upon its breakout TP3: 76.56 and TP4: 75.70 Bullish Scenario: Purchases above 78.00 (wait for a pullback to this area) with TP1: 1679.00 (uncovered POC*), TP2: 79.33, and TP3: 79.66 intraday
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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