Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
Do not belittle G-20 summit
2019-11-11 • Updated
Some traders simply disregard the importance of such political assemblies as G-20 summits viewing them irrelevant for interpretation of market’s moves. In some degree, they are right, markets are not really responsive to the G-20/G-7-like meetings. But the upcoming event has some ginger due to its agenda, the leaders representing 20 leading economies and due to some sidelines meetings.
Angela Merkel will host leaders of the G20 leading economies on this Friday at a Hamburg summit. On the agenda of the meeting are the most contentious and sensitive issues such as free trade, climate change, and immigration. Merkel will try hard to deliver a strong and clear message on the importance of international trade against any protectionist actions. A failure to agree on a commitment to keep global trade free and open will have negative consequences for financial markets.
It also will be interesting to see how Trump will try to defend his staunchy protectionist claims against the barrage of criticism from the part of other leaders. Obviously, he cannot simply reject them all at once as they served him well as a candidate.
Traders should also pay special attention to the sideline meeting of President Donald Trump and his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin. The leaders agreed to hold their first meeting during the G-20 summit. We will eager to know how much Mr. Trump is willing to confront the man whose meddling in the 2016 election may have helped him win. The encounter between the two heads will be held on the back of widening deferral investigation into possible collusion between Trump’s confidants and the Russian political entities, the investigation into Trump’s decision to dismiss former FBI director James Comey (potentially leading to Trump’s impeachment). The US President will have a chance to demonstrate (or not demonstrate) that he is not the Putin’s puppet as Hillary Clinton once called him. Not only American voters will closely watch the highlights of the meeting, but so will a special counsel appointed for the examination of whether Trump tried to impede Russian investigation or not.
Given the importance of these events in under present circumstances, we wait for some moves in the pairs containing the USD following the publication of the communique and play-by-play news from the G20 meeting.
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Bearish scenario: Sales below 80.00 with TP1: 79.60... Anticipated bullish scenario: Intraday purchases above 80.70 with TP: 81.50...
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
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Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...