2021-07-05 • Updated
The British pound has advanced in the first half of the year, especially against the euro. Will this trend sustain in the second part of 2021?
Bank of America has published its mid-year forecast on the GBP. The bank believes the pound has more room to rally up further. The reasons are the UK's successful vaccination rollout and the Bank of England hawkish pivot. The BoE is likely to raise interest rates in 2022, ahead of many G10 peers.
The group of Ten (G10) is made up of eleven (yes, it’s strange) industrial countries (Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, Sweden, Switzerland, the United Kingdom, and the United States) that meet on annual basis to consult each other and cooperate on international financial matters.
According to Bank of America, the British pound will mostly outperform the Japanese yen and the Swiss Franc - both currencies with ultra-low interest rates.
Besides, the UK PM Boris Johnson claimed that he would cancel the coronavirus restrictions, which would be positive for both the pound and UK stocks. Many global investors consider that the UK stocks are undervalued, suggesting the potential growth. By the way, you can trade not only US stocks, but also UK stocks with FBS. Today the US markets are closed due to the Independence Day holiday. Thus, it’s the perfect time to pay attention to UK stocks.
EUR/GBP has bounced off the 50- and 100-day moving averages and reversed to the downside. The move below the low of June 24 at 0.8530 will press the pair down to the next round number at 0.8500. The pair is likely to move down in the mid and long term. Still, if some fundamentals shock the markets and the pair breaks above the upper trend line at 0.8600, it may jump to 0.8650.
Crude oil futures surged on Monday due to disruptions in Russian refining capacity caused by Ukrainian drone strikes and Moscow's decision to cut output to comply with OPEC+ targets. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract for May settled at $81.95 a barrel, up $1.32, while the Brent contract for May settled at $86.57 a barrel, also up $1.32. Russia instructed...
Brent oil is currently on a bullish trend, facing resistance near $84 and supported by the 200-day EMA. Breaking above this level could lead to a climb towards $90. Short-term support is observed around $80, backed by the 50-day EMA. As summer approaches and travel increases, crude oil tends to benefit from seasonal patterns. Despite temporary setbacks, buying...
Brent crude futures is maintaining stability this Friday, with traders awaiting an OPEC+ meeting that might lead to further supply cuts. Brent crude was down 8 cents at $81.34 a barrel, following a 0.7% drop in the previous session.
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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