AUDUSD: Initiating Macro Bearish Reversal

• Bearish Scenario: Selling below 0.6516 with TP1: 0.65, TP2: 0.6487, and upon its breakout TP3: 0.6469. It is recommended to place a stop loss above 0.6541, at least 1% of the account capital. Trailing stop can be used.

• Bullish Scenario: Buying above 0.6540 with TP1: 0.6572, TP2: 0.6594, and TP3: 0.66. It is recommended to set a stop loss (S.L.) below 0.6520 or at least 1% of the account capital.

Analysis from Daily Chart. Volume Profile and Structure.

AUDUSD may be facing a reversal of the bullish trend from the last quarter of 2023, with the breakdown of the December and January support at 0.6525, leaving resistance at 0.6624. The current correction may still extend towards the high volume node around 0.6565, to resume sales towards one of the high volume nodes of November at 0.6430 and the round level 0.64. This scenario will be active as long as the retracement does not break above 0.66 and the resistance at 0.6624. The RSI positioned in negative territory confirms a bearish momentum for the pair.

Scenario from H2 Chart.

The current correction leaves a local resistance at 0.6540, whose decisive breakout will extend purchases towards the daily bullish average range at 0.6572, opening the door to reach Friday's uncovered POC at 0.6594, thus covering the volume inefficiency or volume gap left by Friday's decline. This is a selling zone that will encourage bearish entry to resume pair sales.

On the other hand, an anticipated bearish scenario will be activated with quotes below the broken support at 0.6525 towards Tuesday's uncovered POC at 0.6493, whose breakout in a second touch will break the correction support at 0.6487, indicating a continued decline towards the next support and buying zone around 0.6466.

*Uncovered POC: POC = Point of Control: It is the level or zone where the highest volume concentration occurred. If there was previously a downward movement from it, it is considered a selling zone and forms a resistance zone. Conversely, if there was previously an upward impulse, it is considered a buying zone, usually located at lows, forming support zones.

Risk Management Consideration:

**It is very important that risk management be based on capital and traded volume. For this, a maximum risk of 1% of the capital is recommended. It is suggested to use risk management indicators like Easy Order.

Disclaimer

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This document does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell financial products and should not be considered as a solicitation or offer to engage in transactions. This document is economic research by the author and is not intended to provide investment advice or solicit securities transactions or other types of investment in FBS. Although all investment involves some degree of risk, the risk of loss in trading forex and other leveraged assets can be substantial. Therefore, if you are considering trading in this market, you should be aware of the risks associated with this product to make informed decisions before investing. The material presented here should not be interpreted as advice or trading strategy. All prices mentioned in this report are for informational purposes only.